Monthly Archives: January 2016

Iowa Caucuses: How Do They Work?

By Byron Tau – – – – Iowa caucus goers will gather on Monday evening in schools, libraries and community centers across the state for gatherings run by the Democratic and Republican parties. The caucuses involve “getting together with your neighbors and debating, talking and actually having civil conversations,” said Jeff Kaufmann, chairman of the […]

How Demographics Could Affect Iowa GOP Outcome

By David Byler – – – – Despite enormous polling data, nobody knows how the Iowa caucuses are going to turn out. Donald Trump might excite a massive group of new voters and sweep the contest. He might eke out a win with traditional caucus-goers plus a few newcomers, or he could fail to turn out […]

Campaign Collapsing, Carson Slams Adviser as ‘Not Epitome of Truth’

By REID J. EPSTEIN – – – – – – DES MOINES, Iowa — Ben Carson said his top outside adviser and longtime friend Armstrong Williams is dishonest – a failing he also attributed to political opponents and the media that has covered his campaign. “Armstrong is not necessarily the epitome of truth,” Mr. Carson said during a breakfast with reporters hosted by Bloomberg. “He […]

We’re Millennials–Hear Us Roar

  By  William Handke & Ross Pomeroy – – – – Last year, a major upheaval occurred in the United States, and you probably didn’t even notice. The change was silent, yet seismic, and will irrevocably alter the course of our country. Millennials, Americans born between 1980 and 1997, now comprise the largest portion of the […]

How New Hampshire Has Changed Since 2008

By JANET ADAMY – – – – New Hampshire is among the most transient states in the nation, with an influx of young voters that favors Democrats. Those are among the findings of a demographic analysis of the Granite State released Tuesday by three academics from the University of New Hampshire. Their work shows that the electorate casting ballots in next […]

Too early to pick winners in Iowa and New Hampshire

By Philip Bump – – – – As it stands, Donald Trump leads the rest of the Republican field in New Hampshire by a nearly two-to-one margin, according to Real Clear Politics’ polling average. Two to one! Fine. Done. He gets that state. In Iowa, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders by 12 points — only one […]

This Will Be the Nastiest Presidential Campaign in History

By Joe Trippi – – – – If you thought 2015 was a nasty, negative campaign year in presidential politics just wait. The safest prediction you will hear for 2016 is that this year will be the most negative, ugly, nasty campaign in modern U.S. history. If you thought it could not get any worse […]

Winning or Losing Isn’t Everything in the Primaries

By Jonathan Bernstein – – – – As Elaine Kamarck recounts in the Washington Post, winning isn’t all that matters in the early contests on the presidential nomination calendar. Candidates seek to beat expectations, and the press and the parties judge the results against what they thought would happen. In fact, beating expectations can matter even […]

Is Nominating Bernie Sanders a Worthwhile Gamble?

BY BRIAN BEUTLER – – – – – For the better part of a year, Bernie Sanders enjoyed a polite if slightly bemused welcome from the non-radical quarters of the Democratic firmament. The wing of the party represented by Sanders and Elizabeth Warren had been ascendant for most of Barack Obama’s presidency, enlarging the potential constituency […]