Electoral College November Projections

Electoral map

By Glenn Minnis

Hillary Clinton has built a sizeable lead over Donald Trump in their battle for control of the Electoral College map Florida, Iowa and Wisconsin.

According to a recent Freedoms Light House survey, the presumptive Democratic nominee leads in those key swing states as well as in electoral vote rich states California, New York and Illinois, for an overall lead of 227 to 180 with 131 votes still considered tossups.

A recent 270 to Win poll tells a similar story, with Clinton topping that electoral vote survey 253 to 191.

The 270 map represents an aggregate average of such ratings as Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Cook Political Report, NBC Political Unit, Rothenberg-Gonzales Political Unit and the Washington Post.

In that poll, Clinton again leads in all the aforementioned states, as well as Pennsylvania, where Democrats have won every presidential election since 1992.

 


Click the map to create your own at 270toWin.com

Polls Reflect Trump’s Recent Struggles

A NPR poll has Clinton holding an even larger 279 to 191 electoral vote lead over Trump, with polling reflecting Trump’s recent struggles on such issues as his overly harsh criticism of the judge overseeing his Trump University fraud case, largely stemming from his Mexican heritage, and his response to the mass murder nightclub shooting in Orlando.

In the NPR poll, Clinton is considered to hold “safe” leads in California, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Massachusetts, New York, Rhode Island, Vermont, Washington D.C. and Washington state.

Minnesota, New Jersey, New Mexico and Oregon are all considered “likely” for her, while Florida, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, Virginia and Wisconsin are all thought to be “leaning” democratically.

Trump Holding on in the South

Meanwhile, Trump is reported to hold “safe” leads in Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Idaho, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, West Virginia and Wyoming.

Arizona and Georgia are both considered to “leaning” Republican, while Indiana, Missouri and Utah are all reported to be “likely” for the GOP.

Colorado, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio and Pennsylvania are all still considered to be toss ups.

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