Fewer Than Half of Trump Supporters Think Their Vote Will Be Accurately Counted

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks to supporters at a rally at Erie Insurance Arena on August 12, 2016 in Erie, Pa.

By BYRON TAU – – – – – –

Only 38% of supporters of Republican Donald Trump believe that their vote will be accurately counted in November, according to a new survey.

The Pew Research Center poll found that nearly a third of the registered voters it surveyed say they have little or no confidence in the fairness of the ballot counting process when it comes to their vote. Another 31% of Mr. Trump’s supporters said they are only “somewhat” confident their ballot will count.

By contrast, two-thirds of the supporters of Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton say they are “very” sure of their vote counting, while another 25% say they are “somewhat” confident.

The gap is starker when voters are asked if votes across the country will be counted fairly. Only 11% of Trump supporters say they have a high degree of confidence in the vote counting process across the country, while 49% of Clinton supporters do.

The Pew survey finds a marked erosion of support in the integrity of the election process. Mr. Trump himself has raised the possibility that the election will be “rigged” — though he has not pointed to any evidence of tampering.

“Nov. 8, we’d better be careful, because that election is going to be rigged,” Mr. Trump said earlier this month at an Ohio rally. “People are going to walk in and they’re going to vote 10 times, maybe, who knows?”

Republicans, in response to what they have said are concerns about fraud and election integrity, have pushed to passed laws in a number of states requiring ID to vote in recent years. Democrats have said those laws are meant to depress turnout among lower-income voters and nonwhites. Courts have thrown out some of the laws, saying they discriminated against minority votes.

Among all voters, only 49% of voters are “very” confident their vote will count. That is a modest decline from 2008, when 57% of voters say the same. And back in 2004, 62% of voters said they were “very” confident.

Pew also found evidence that charges of vote rigging are driven by partisanship. While it is now Republicans who are more skeptical of voting counting, those numbers were reversed a decade ago when George W. Bush was president.

During the 2004 election, 75% of Republicans said they were “very’ confident their vote would be counted accurately, while only 48% of Democrats said the same. In 2008, it was 65% of Republicans versus 52% of Democrats.

The Pew Research Center survey was conducted August 9-16 and included 1,567 registered voters, giving it a margin of error of plus or minus 2.8%.

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