A new CNN/ORC national poll shows Republican Donald Trump leading Democrat Hillary Clinton by a narrow two points, the first time the businessman has had the top spot in this poll in several months.
Mr. Trump was ahead with 45% to Mrs. Clinton’s 43% in a four-way race among likely voters, with Libertarian Gary Johnson taking 7% and Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate, at 2%.
Though recent polling has shown Mrs. Clinton’s lead tightening, this marks a rare major poll since the two political conventions this summer showing Mr. Trump ahead. In a CNN poll released in early August, immediately following the Democratic National Convention, Mrs. Clinton peaked at an eight-point advantage against her GOP rival.
Mr. Trump last led the CNN poll in mid-July, when he was up 44% to 39% in a four way race. Those earlier CNN polls tracked “registered voters,” as opposed to “likely voters,” the narrower metric tracked in the poll released Tuesday.
In the latest poll, CNN has Mrs. Clinton still in the lead among registered voters, 44% to 41%, in a four-way race.
In the past couple of weeks, new reporting on Mrs. Clinton’s private email server and her family’s charitable foundation has cast an unflattering light on the candidate, helping to weigh on her poll numbers. The Real Clear Politics average of recent national polls has her ahead by about three points as of Tuesday morning.
Still, Mrs. Clinton leads in most polls of key battleground states, giving her a clear edge. Despite their own beliefs, 59% of voters told CNN pollsters they believed Mrs. Clinton would reach 270 electoral votes – enough to win – compared to 34% who said the same of Mr. Trump.
The CNN poll of 1,001 voters was conducted from Sept. 1-4 with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.